Re: [Salon] A Note on Elbridge Colby’s Confirmation



Carden defines "Realism" to a T, here, as it really is. Which is why he has no credibility with me. He provides the "true" meaning to "Realist" here which is ultra-rabid China Hawk. But Colby never reserved his ultra-Hawkishness only for China, except in the imaginations of other Realists, as here. He was the architect of "45's" preparation for war against Russia, China, Iran, etc., as can be seen with this incitement from the Colby authored 2018 National Defense Strategy attached below: 

"China is a strategic competitor using predatory economics to intimidate its neighbors while militarizing

features in the South China Sea. Russia has violated the borders of nearby nations and pursues veto

power over the economic, diplomatic, and security decisions of its neighbors. As well, North Korea’s

outlaw actions and reckless rhetoric continue despite United Nation’s censure and sanctions. Iran

continues to sow violence and remains the most significant challenge to Middle East stability."


Needless to say, no consideration was paid by Colby to the many provocations the US had engaged in as National Policy going back more than two decades by 2018, under the Cheney Doctrine (which is not to defend any of these country's policies either except to note that like Iraq, they had grounds for acting in self-defense.)

 

Attachment: 2018 National Defense Strategy Summary.pdf
Description: Adobe PDF document

Attachment: Colby_01-29-19.pdf
Description: Adobe PDF document


From p. 3, Colby Testimony above:

"The Particular Threat Posed by China and Russia 

China in particular and to a lesser extent Russia present by far the most severe threats to our alliance architecture. The once overwhelming U.S. conventional military advantage vis a vis these major powers has eroded and will continue to erode absent overriding focus and effort by the United States and its allies and partners. 

"China and Russia pose a particular kind of threat to U.S. allies and established partners like Taiwan. Beijing and Moscow have plausible theories of victory that could involve employing a combination of “gray zone” activities (such as through the use of subversion by “little green men,”), robust anti-access/area denial (A2/AD) networks, lethal and fast maneuver forces, and strategic capabilities, especially nuclear arsenals. The adept integration of these assets could enable Beijing or Moscow first to overpower U.S. allies and seize their territory while holding off U.S. and other allied combat power."


As we now know, from President Duda and our POTUS, by the time Colby had written this justification for aggression against these countries, kinetic operations and weapon deliveries had already escalated far beyond what Obama had been willing to do! 


I could pick the rest of Carden's panegyric to Colby apart but it would never reach the brain-dead who will go on believing what they want to believe, as cult-followers. And Colby has Heritage Foundation's full support, including a bit of (rare) honest from them!

BLUF: "On Ukraine, my understanding is that Bridge certainly wants Ukraine to win. But he also believes that, given the need for the U.S. to focus on China and the absence of a NATO-like security arrangement in the Western Pacific, most of the additional support for Ukraine should come from our European allies.

"As far as the Middle East, Bridge has always been a staunch supporter of Israel. I cannot fathom a world in which Bridge is ambivalent about a nuclear-armed Iran. Such an outcome would contradict both American interests and the interests of our regional allies and partners."

I will give Carden one thing. He and I have a slight agreement on National Conservativism, from what he said in this very rare criticism of them in The American Conservative magazine, but that's a limited agreement as his main criticism comes down to it isn't American, nothing substantive as a fellow post-Liberal: https://www.theamericanconservative.com/neoconservatism-by-another-name/

But one sees a strategy here to protect a certain someone: everything bad, blame the NeoCons, and ignore that as Heritage says, they're all (no prefix) Conservatives now
"Curt Mills of The American Conservative joins Emily for an assessment of Trump’s foreign policy as he enters his third month back in office. With the collapse of the Gaza ceasefire and progress toward a ceasefire in Ukraine, Trump’s last 72 hours are testing his approach."
(Sharing this only for the false claim in the title, not for anything either of these two far-rightists have to say.)

On Apr 8, 2025, at 1:35 PM, @listserve.com> wrote:

A Note on Elbridge Colby’s Confirmation

A rare victory for realism.

On Tuesday, after a bruising confirmation battle, defense expert Elbridge Colby was confirmed by the Senate by a vote of 54-45 to become Undersecretary of Defense for Policy. Colby served as deputy assistant secretary of defense for strategy and force development during the first Trump administration and was the architect of the 2018 National Defense Strategy. He is widely credited with leading the effort to reorient US defense policy away from Europe and the Middle East toward China.

During the Biden interregnum, Colby assiduously raised his public profile by authoring a well-received book, The Strategy of Denial: American Defense in an Age of Great Power Conflict and founding a think tank, The Marathon Initiative.

Nominated to the Pentagon’s #3 position earlier this year, Colby came under immediate fire from neoconservatives like Sen. Tom Cotton, (R-AK). Opposition from Cotton, a protege of William Kristol, might have been expected.

Journalist Eli Clifton has reported that,

Cotton and Kristol’s relationship goes back to when Cotton was still in the Army and stationed near Washington. “Kristol saw a kindred spirit in Cotton’s aggressive national-security hawkishness and the men developed what Kristol describes as a ‘bond beyond pure policy,’” according to a 2014 profile of Cotton in The Atlantic.

That bond extended into financial support of Cotton’s candidacy. The Emergency Committee for Israel, a 501c4 group co-chaired by Bill Kistol and social conservative and Christian Zionist Gary Bauer, spent nearly $1 million in dark money to buy television commercials supporting Cotton in his 2014 Senate race.

That spending couldn’t legally be coordinated with Cotton’s campaign. But that doesn’t mean that the first-year senator couldn’t pay back his mentor and dark-money supporter in June 2017 by giving his son, Joe, a prime job in his Senate office.

Cotton lobbied hard to be named CIA Director under Trump II. Thankfully, he was unsuccessful. But other neocons made the cut: the uncomprehending Waltz at NSC, for example.

Colby’s confirmation devolved into a kind of proxy war between the warring America First and Republican/Neocon camps. A leader of the former, Donald Trump Jr., took to X to declare that any Republican “opposing ElbridgeColby is opposing the Trump agenda.” In a statement announcing his vote against Colby, former Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell stated that Colby’s elevation to the post,

…leaves open the door for the less-polished standard-bearers of restraint and retrenchment at the Pentagon to do irreparable damage to the system of alliances and partnerships that serve as force multipliers to U.S. leadership.”

A better endorsement would be hard to imagine.

Yet viewing Colby’s confirmation as a sign that anti-interventionists have the wind at their back would be a mistake. The neocon faction of the GOP has necessarily, thanks to Trump, lowered its profile, but it is far dead. It counts as its members the Secretary of State; CIA Director; the Chair of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee; the Chair of the Senate Armed Service Committee; the Senate majority leader; and (probably) the Speaker of the House.

As of this writing, it is trying to undercut Trump on Ukraine by pushing an absurd new sanctions bill against Russia, while pushing hard for military action against Iran.


James W. Carden is editor of TRR.

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